NEW DELHI: On October 29, the BJP lost both Varanasi seats in the Uttar Pradesh legislative council elections to the Samajwadi Party (SP) despite nine ministers and seven MLAs campaigning in Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Lok Sabha constituency. In Maharashtra’s Nagpur, home to the RSS headquarters, the Congress’s Abhijeet Wanjari retained the graduates’ seat by 3,271 votes.
Yet, this was no rout. Across 28 teachers’ and graduates’ seats in four states, the BJP won 13 on its own and the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) 16, down from 18. The Congress secured just one seat, in Nagpur, and lost all four in party-ruled Karnataka—a performance Modi made a point of mocking. The verdict suggested neither an anti-BJP wave nor an Opposition revival. Instead, it exposed fault lines ahead of a much larger electoral test.
Seven states, accounting for 940 assembly constituencies and 132 Lok Sabha seats, go to polls in 2027. Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur are expected to vote first, in February-March. Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh follow towards the year’s end. The BJP governs five of the seven states while the Congress holds Himachal Pradesh and the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) Punjab.
The BJP alone holds 557 of the 940 assembly seats. Its allies hold another 47 while 12 Independents back the alliance, giving the NDA control of 616 seats—nearly two out of every three. The Congress holds 98. AAP, which left the INDIA bloc in July 2025, has 101, nearly all in Punjab.
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