NEW DELHI ,4 April 2026 : The ruling DMK alliance is projected to win the upcoming Tamil Nadu Assembly elections, according to two pre-poll surveys released ahead of April 23 elections.
A survey by agency Lok Poll projected that Chief Minister MK Stalin-led alliance will secure 181-189 seats of the 234 constituencies with a 40.1 per cent vote share.
The opposition AIADMK-led NDA is projected to win between 38 and 42 seats, with 29% of the vote share, according to the survey which was conducted between March 1 and April 1.
Actor-politician Vijay’s Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), which is making its political debut, will secure 8-10 seats with a 23.9% vote share. NTK and other parties are unlikely to make a significant impact, with projected vote shares of 4.9% and 2.1%, respectively.
According to the findings, Stalin was the most preferred chief ministerial face, followed by Vijay and AIADMK’s Edappadi K Palaniswami.
“The DMK alliance is clearly ahead, mainly because of its strong welfare schemes like Kalaignar Magalir Urimai Thogai, free bus travel, and the breakfast scheme. These have especially connected well with women in rural and semi-urban areas, giving DMK a solid advantage,” the Lok Poll survey said.
It said the “biggest advantage” for the DMK is that the opposition vote is split between the NDA and the TVK.
Vijay’s party is attracting a “good share” of votes “especially from young voters, first-time voters, and those unhappy with the government”, the survey, which included 1,17,000 respondents, said.
This support, however, may not convert into many seats, as they are contesting alone, it added.
Picture credit social media
