NEW DELHI: Exit poll results that are out so far have projected mixed outcomes for the West Bengal assembly elections. Two of the three pollsters are giving a narrow win to the BJP, and one is projecting a sweep for the ruling TMC. Stay tuned for more.
Two of the three pollsters are giving a narrow win to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), and one is projecting a sweep for the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC).
Peoples Pulse; Matrize; P-Marq have released their numbers so far.
The first exit poll results are out in Bengal. Matrize has predicted that BJP will narrowly win in Bengal.
Matrize has given an edge to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) with 146-161 seats and predicted a second spot for the ruling Trinamool Congress (TMC) with 120-140 constituencies projected for the TMC.
Peoples Pulse has, however, projected that the TMC will win the elections.
Peoples Pulse exit poll has projected a clean sweep for the ruling TMC in West Bengal assembly elections with 177-187 seats. The pollster has projected 95-110 seats for the BJP.
148 is the half way mark in 294-member Bengal assembly.
The voting for second and last phase of polling held across 142 seats has ended. The first phase of voting on 23 April was held for 152 seats. With this the present election cycle is over.
Apart from West Bengal, elections were held on Assam, Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and Kerala. Exit poll results can be published only after polling ends, with the Election Commission’s embargo running till 6:30 PM on Wednesday.
According to Chanakya Strategies, the BJP is expected to secure around 150–160 seats, while the Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress (TMC) is projected to win 130–140 seats in the 294-member Assembly. Other parties are estimated to pick up about 6–10 seats.
In 2021, exit polls predicted a close fight between the TMC and the BJP in Bengal. The poll of polls predicted that Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress party would win 156 of the state’s 292 seats that went to polls and that the BJP would score a strong 121 seats.
But eventually, the Mamata Banerjee-led TMC won the election with a landslide, winning 215 seats out of the 292 polled. The BJP won 77 seats, emerging as the principal opposition party in the West Bengal assembly for the first time.
As exit poll numbers begin to come in, this live blog will track seat projections, vote-share estimates, region-wise movement, whether TMC is holding its edge or BJP is making gains, and what the trends may mean ahead of counting day.
Pollsters predict big BJP win in Bengal & Assam, DMK win in TN, UDF edge in Kerala.
Exit polls released for the closely watched Assam elections suggest a strong advantage for the incumbent Himanta Biswa Sarma-led government, with most projections indicating a likely third consecutive term for the BJP in the tea-rich state.
The results place the Congress in a weaker position, offering little momentum to the Gaurav Gogoi-led campaign and keeping the party largely on the margins in the contest.
Overall, multiple agencies’ exit poll estimates point toward a comfortable majority for the BJP-led alliance in Assam, reinforcing the possibility of the ruling party extending its stay in power.
Exit polls released for the 2026 Tamil Nadu assembly elections suggest that chief minister MK Stalin’s DMK-led alliance is likely to stay in power, although with a narrower margin compared to its 2021 performance. The newly formed Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK), led by Vijay, is also appearing to make inroads into established voter bases. Across three projections, the DMK+ alliance is placed comfortably around or above the halfway mark in the 234-seat Assembly.
KERALA: The Axis My India exit poll for Kerala indicates the United Democratic Front (UDF) is likely to emerge ahead with an estimated 78–90 seats. The Left Democratic Front (LDF) is projected to secure 49–62 seats, while the BJP+ is expected to remain marginal, with a possible tally of 0–3 seats, suggesting a closely watched but UDF-favouring contest.
According to the JVC exit poll, the NDA is projected to take the lead with an estimated 88–101 seats. The opposition is expected to secure between 23 and 33 seats, while smaller parties and independents may collectively account for around 2–5 seats, indicating a clear advantage for the NDA in the contest.
DMK+ projected to lead with 125–145 seats: The People’s Pulse exit poll for Tamil Nadu indicates a strong lead for the DMK alliance (DMK+) with an estimated 125–145 seats. The AIADMK alliance (AIADMK+) is projected to follow with 65–80 seats, while the TVK is expected to make a modest impact, likely securing between 18 and 24 seats.
PUDUCHERRY: In Puducherry, Axis My India predicted 16-20 seats for the NDA and 6-8 for the DMK-Congress. It said the TVK is likely to get 2-4 seats in the assembly. There are 30 elected seats in Puducherry.
